Arbroath
0 - 1
Inverness

Hamilton (33'), Swankie (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sutherland (66')
Broadfoot (52'), Mckay (81')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Shane Sutherland's 65th-minute breakthrough gave Billy Dodds' team the three points at Gayfield Park.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
40.53%	25.66%	33.81%

Both teams to score 55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98%

49.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9%

71.1%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07%

23.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85%

58.15%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31%

27.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75%

63.25%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 40.53%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 33.81%

Draw 25.65%

Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.53%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.81%