Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
