Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
