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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
A

Raith Rovers
3 - 0
Arbroath

Armstrong (31'), Tumilty (36'), Hendry (43')
Tait (59'), MacDonald (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Virtanen (48'), O'Brien (71'), (89')
O'Brien (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawArbroath
56.9%22.63%20.47%
Both teams to score 53.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47%45.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14%67.86%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23%15.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09%44.91%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69%36.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.1%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 56.89%
    Arbroath 20.47%
    Draw 22.62%
Raith RoversDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.77%
3-1 @ 6.09%
3-0 @ 6.01%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-0 @ 2.78%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.04%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 5.73%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.8%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 20.47%


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