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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
DA

Arbroath
4 - 2
Dunfermline

O'Brien (15'), McKenna (37', 85' pen.), Linn (77')
McKenna (51'), Hilson (78')
FT(HT: 2-2)
O'Hara (8', 12')
(77')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Dunfermline Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawDunfermline Athletic
49.18%26.78%24.04%
Both teams to score 45.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86%58.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21%78.79%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26%23.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12%57.88%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05%39.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.39%76.61%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 49.17%
    Dunfermline Athletic 24.04%
    Draw 26.78%
ArbroathDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.17%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.26%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 24.04%

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