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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
AU

Raith Rovers
2 - 1
Ayr

Ross (12'), Zanatta (27')
Tait (77'), Dick (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baird (71')
Murdoch (27')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Ayr United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawAyr United
55.55%23.67%20.78%
Both teams to score 50.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.49%49.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46%71.54%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33%17.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.7%48.29%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.74%38.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98%75.02%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 55.54%
    Ayr United 20.78%
    Draw 23.66%
Raith RoversDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 55.54%
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.49%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.78%

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