Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
