Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
