Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
