SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 78.54%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 7.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Falkirk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
78.54% ( 0.41) | 13.82% ( -0.24) | 7.64% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.47% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( 0.51) | 34.6% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( 0.57) | 56.54% ( -0.57) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.96% ( 0.2) | 7.04% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.52) | 25.73% ( -0.52) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.07% ( -0.07) | 48.94% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.09% ( -0.05) | 83.91% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 2-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 78.54% | 1-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 13.82% | 0-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.64% |
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