SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
42.14% ( -0.28) | 25.24% ( 0.07) | 32.61% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.51% ( -0.26) | 47.49% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.3% ( -0.25) | 69.7% ( 0.25) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( -0.25) | 22.46% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( -0.37) | 56% ( 0.37) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 0) | 27.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( 0) | 63.26% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.61% |
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