SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
24.52% ( -4.43) | 23.58% ( -0.58) | 51.9% ( 5) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( -1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.88% ( -0.82) | 45.12% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.53% ( -0.79) | 67.46% ( 0.79) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( -3.81) | 32.35% ( 3.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( -4.53) | 68.86% ( 4.53) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( 1.63) | 17.4% ( -1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( 2.78) | 47.82% ( -2.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.82)2-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.69)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.6)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.44)Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.52% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.4)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.83) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1.13)1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.48)0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.88)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.33)0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.48)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.9% |
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