Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
