Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen of the South in this match.
