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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Oct 31, 2020 at 3pm UK
East End Park
QO

Dunfermline
3 - 2
QotS

Murray (21'), McManus (43' pen.), Watson (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McKee (51'), Dobbie (74' pen.)
McKee (33'), Gibson (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawQueen of the South
51.78%25.05%23.17%
Both teams to score 49.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53%52.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85%74.15%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74%20.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39%52.6%
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41%37.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63%74.37%
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 51.77%
    Queen of the South 23.17%
    Draw 25.04%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawQueen of the South
1-0 @ 12.15%
2-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.62%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 23.17%


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