Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
