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Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Oct 9, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stark's Park
EF

Raith Rovers
3 - 1
East Fife

Tait (35'), Connolly (39'), Poplatnik (62')
Benedictus (9')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mercer (37')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Raith Rovers and East Fife.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 9.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a East Fife win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawEast Fife
75.96%14.82%9.21%
Both teams to score 51.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.19%33.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.34%55.65%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.61%7.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.36%26.64%
East Fife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.23%44.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.25%80.75%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 75.95%
    East Fife 9.21%
    Draw 14.82%
Raith RoversDrawEast Fife
2-0 @ 11.22%
3-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 7.84%
4-0 @ 6.35%
4-1 @ 5.11%
5-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 3.15%
5-1 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 2.05%
6-0 @ 1.44%
6-1 @ 1.16%
5-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 75.95%
1-1 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 3.63%
0-0 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 14.82%
1-2 @ 2.78%
0-1 @ 2.66%
0-2 @ 1.07%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 9.21%

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