Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
