Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.