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HL
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
May 16, 2021 at 12pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
KL

Hamilton
0 - 2
Kilmarnock


Martin (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pinnock (9', 44')
Dicker (35'), Haunstrup (47'), Kiltie (57'), Oakley (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawKilmarnock
23.6%27.07%49.32%
Both teams to score 44.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.55%59.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19%79.81%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89%41.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35%77.65%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75%24.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.4%58.6%
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 23.6%
    Kilmarnock 49.32%
    Draw 27.07%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-1 @ 5.58%
2-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.17%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 23.6%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 9.97%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 14.12%
0-2 @ 10%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-3 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.67%
1-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 49.32%

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