Hamilton
0 - 1
Ayr

Spence (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Salkeld (27')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Hamilton Academical and Ayr United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Ayr United
28.5%	25.58%	45.92%

Both teams to score 52.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.31%

50.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.41%

72.59%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85%

32.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.36%

68.63%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94%

22.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.6%

55.4%

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 28.5%

Ayr United 45.92%

Draw 25.58%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 8.05% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.5%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.92%