Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.