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Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stark's Park
DL

Raith Rovers
0 - 3
Dundee


Matthews (20'), Gullan (71'), Tumilty (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGhee (22', 55'), Sow (84')
McGowan (8')
Coverage of the Scottish Premiership Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Raith Rovers and Dundee.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawDundee
30.64%25.85%43.51%
Both teams to score 53.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22%50.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33%72.67%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35%30.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11%66.89%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78%23.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87%57.13%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 30.64%
    Dundee 43.51%
    Draw 25.84%
Raith RoversDrawDundee
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.64%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-3 @ 4.37%
0-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 43.51%

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