SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ayr United | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Queen's Park | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Dundee | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
45.31% ( 0.21) | 28.42% ( -0.07) | 26.26% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.33% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.77% ( 0.15) | 62.22% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.1% ( 0.11) | 81.9% ( -0.11) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0.18) | 27.49% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( 0.23) | 62.98% ( -0.23) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.04) | 40.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.13% ( -0.04) | 76.87% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.73% Total : 45.31% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 26.25% |
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