SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Greenock Morton | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Hamilton Academical | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Raith Rovers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 3 | -2 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
45.94% ( 0.25) | 26.85% ( -0.09) | 27.21% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% ( 0.23) | 56.32% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( 0.18) | 77.35% ( -0.18) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0.22) | 24.47% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( 0.31) | 58.92% ( -0.31) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.01) | 36.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( -0.01) | 72.95% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 27.21% |
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