Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
