Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
