Hamilton
2 - 3
Kilmarnock

Moyo (68'), Ryan (86' pen.)
Virtanen (29'), Stirling (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Armstrong (53'), Sanders (89', 90+4')
Warnock (72'), Alston (78'), Stokes (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Hamilton Academical and Kilmarnock.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Kilmarnock
22.97%	25.04%	51.98%

Both teams to score 49.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36%

52.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.71%

74.29%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.13%

37.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.35%

74.64%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75%

20.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42%

52.58%

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 22.97%

Kilmarnock 51.98%

Draw 25.04%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 7.44% 2-1 @ 5.77% 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.97%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 12.24% 0-2 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 5.06% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-4 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.66% Total : 51.98%