SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
61.28% ( 0.03) | 21.99% ( 0) | 16.73% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.95% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( -0.08) | 48.39% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( -0.07) | 70.53% ( 0.07) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.7% ( -0.02) | 15.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.98% ( -0.03) | 44.02% ( 0.03) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.79% ( -0.09) | 42.21% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.38% ( -0.08) | 78.62% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.73% |
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