Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
61.28% (![]() | 21.99% (![]() | 16.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% (![]() | 48.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.47% (![]() | 70.53% (![]() |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.7% (![]() | 15.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.98% (![]() | 44.02% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.79% (![]() | 42.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.38% (![]() | 78.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 12.12% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.38% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.24% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.57% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.73% |
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