Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
