Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
