Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
