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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gayfield Park
KL

Arbroath
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Hamilton (56')
Stewart (16'), Low (45+1')
Craigen (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murray (90+2')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Kilmarnock.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawKilmarnock
33.72%28.03%38.25%
Both teams to score 47.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5%58.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92%79.08%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52%32.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31%69%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39%29.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35%65.65%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 33.72%
    Kilmarnock 38.24%
    Draw 28.03%
ArbroathDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.72%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.62%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.12%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.24%

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