Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
