SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
41.27% ( -0.44) | 25.79% ( 0.09) | 32.93% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% ( -0.28) | 49.78% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( -0.25) | 71.79% ( 0.25) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( -0.34) | 23.89% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( -0.49) | 58.09% ( 0.49) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0.09) | 28.62% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( 0.11) | 64.42% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.93% |
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