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CL
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Celtic Park

Celtic
5 - 0
Buckie Thistle

Bernardo (25'), Thiago Holm (33'), Furuhashi (41'), Palma (50'), Vata (75')
Vata (71')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Pugh (14')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 0-3 Celtic
Tuesday, January 2 at 5pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee U21s 4-0 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 2 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Celtic532.41O'Riley
2Rangers412.05Sima
3Hibernian261.30Youan
4Motherwell251.19Biereth
5Hearts241.14Shankland
6Kilmarnock241.09Vassell
7St Mirren241.09Kiltie
8Aberdeen221.22Miovski
9Dundee221.22Bakayoko
10Ross County170.89Murray
11St Johnstone130.65Clark
12Livingston120.57Anderson

We said: Celtic 4-0 Buckie Thistle

Cup upsets happen every year, and nothing is stopping Buckie Thistle from etching their names into the history books with a surprise victory this weekend. However, a dominant victory for Celtic is expected considering the large gap between the teams in the football pyramid and the quality that the Hoops have to choose from. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.15%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.49%), while for a Buckie Thistle win it was 1-2 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawBuckie Thistle
88.15% (0.23999999999999 0.24) 7.91% (-0.011 -0.01) 3.94% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.55% (-2.573 -2.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.56% (-1.477 -1.48)19.44% (1.481 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.71% (-2.16 -2.16)37.29% (2.163 2.16)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.24% (-0.179 -0.18)2.76% (0.1829 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.34% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)12.66% (0.666 0.67)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.99% (-2.545 -2.55)48.01% (2.546 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.76% (-1.936 -1.94)83.24% (1.939 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 88.15%
    Buckie Thistle 3.94%
    Draw 7.91%
CelticDrawBuckie Thistle
3-0 @ 10.21% (0.649 0.65)
4-0 @ 9.17% (0.424 0.42)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.7 0.7)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 6.73% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-0 @ 6.59% (0.184 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 4.83% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 4.76% (0.472 0.47)
6-0 @ 3.94% (0.036 0.04)
6-1 @ 2.89% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.248 -0.25)
7-0 @ 2.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.77% (-0.216 -0.22)
7-1 @ 1.48% (-0.126 -0.13)
6-2 @ 1.06% (-0.152 -0.15)
8-0 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 88.15%
1-1 @ 3.49% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.3% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-0 @ 1.33% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 7.91%
1-2 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 0.97% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 3.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Mirren 0-3 Celtic
Tuesday, January 2 at 5pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Rangers
Saturday, December 30 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 0-3 Celtic
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 0-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Feyenoord
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dundee U21s 4-0 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 2 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-2 Linfield
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-1 Brora Rangers (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hearts U21s 2-3 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: East Fife 3-2 Buckie Thistle
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-4 Alloa
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup


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