SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celtic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
49.92% ( -2.65) | 22.37% ( 0.82) | 27.71% ( 1.84) |
| Both teams to score 63.29% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.27% ( -2.38) | 36.73% ( 2.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.11% ( -2.64) | 58.89% ( 2.65) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.97% ( -1.7) | 15.03% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.49% ( -3.33) | 43.51% ( 3.33) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( 0.01) | 25.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( 0.02) | 60.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.38)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.26)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.22)Other @ 4.14% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.59)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.72% |
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