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Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park

Buckie Thistle
1 - 2
Linfield

Goodall (53')
MacAskill (13'), Pugh (37'), Urquhart (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cooper (74'), Quinn (75')
Shields (21'), Fallon (51'), Mulgrew (55'), Cooper (56')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Buckie Thistle and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-1 Brora Rangers (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Linfield
Friday, September 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Buckie Thistle win it was 2-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Buckie ThistleDrawLinfield
14.31% (-1.265 -1.27) 18.59% (-0.674 -0.67) 67.1% (1.942 1.94)
Both teams to score 54.67% (-0.843 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.07% (0.467 0.47)37.93% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.82% (0.498 0.5)60.18% (-0.494 -0.49)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04% (-1.376 -1.38)38.96% (1.379 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.31% (-1.323 -1.32)75.69% (1.326 1.33)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57% (0.629 0.63)10.43% (-0.626 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.99% (1.397 1.4)34.01% (-1.395 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Buckie Thistle 14.31%
    Linfield 67.1%
    Draw 18.59%
Buckie ThistleDrawLinfield
2-1 @ 4.08% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-0 @ 3.83% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-0 @ 1.81% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.28% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 14.31%
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.59%
0-2 @ 10.38% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 7.82% (0.427 0.43)
1-3 @ 7.37% (0.136 0.14)
0-4 @ 4.42% (0.349 0.35)
1-4 @ 4.17% (0.182 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-5 @ 2% (0.205 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.88% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 67.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-1 Brora Rangers (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hearts U21s 2-3 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: East Fife 3-2 Buckie Thistle
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-4 Alloa
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 5-0 Buckie Thistle
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-1 Ross County (3-5 pen.)
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Linfield
Friday, September 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-4 Linfield
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Linfield
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-1 RFS (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Linfield
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: RFS 2-2 Linfield
Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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