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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 56.84%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.63%) and 0-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Celtic |
22.37% ( 0.75) | 20.78% ( 0.52) | 56.84% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.54% ( -1.56) | 34.45% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.62% ( -1.78) | 56.37% ( 1.77) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -0.26) | 28.26% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( -0.33) | 63.97% ( 0.32) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.89% ( -0.84) | 12.1% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.34% ( -1.81) | 37.66% ( 1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.41% Total : 22.37% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 3.58% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.16)1-5 @ 1.51% ( -0.15)0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.11)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.1)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.84% |
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