Despite their valiant efforts in the previous rounds, Darvel's Scottish Cup run looks set to end on Monday, with Falkirk expected to flex their muscles and advance to the quarter-finals following a tough battle at Recreation Park.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Darvel had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Darvel win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
1.8) 
-1.94) 
