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Scottish League One | Gameweek 18
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Recreation Park
F

Alloa
1 - 1
Falkirk

Taggart (90+5' pen.)
Scougall (49'), Maciver (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oliver (86')
McGinn (20'), Allan (42'), Mackie (55'), Morrison (80')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Peterhead
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawFalkirk
34.13% (1.726 1.73) 26.32% (1.433 1.43) 39.56% (-3.161 -3.16)
Both teams to score 52.9% (-4.313 -4.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-5.794 -5.79)51.76% (5.791 5.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-5.257 -5.26)73.53% (5.255 5.26)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-1.744 -1.74)28.83% (1.741 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-2.221 -2.22)64.69% (2.219 2.22)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32% (-4.142 -4.14)25.68% (4.138 4.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.41% (-5.983 -5.98)60.58% (5.978 5.98)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 34.13%
    Falkirk 39.55%
    Draw 26.31%
Alloa AthleticDrawFalkirk
1-0 @ 9.21% (1.586 1.59)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.145 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.73% (0.749 0.75)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.359 -0.36)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.13%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.82 0.82)
0-0 @ 7.4% (1.568 1.57)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.573 -0.57)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 10.06% (1.102 1.1)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-2 @ 6.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.74 -0.74)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.419 -0.42)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.603 -0.6)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.453 -0.45)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.297 -0.3)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.55%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Peterhead
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Airdrieonians 4-0 Alloa
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-2 Alloa
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 0-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, December 31 at 1pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 4-0 Clyde
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Montrose
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 5-2 QotS
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One


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