SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
27.64% ( -0.64) | 25.72% ( -0.21) | 46.63% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( 0.5) | 51.74% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( 0.43) | 73.51% ( -0.43) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.23) | 33.36% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( -0.26) | 69.98% ( 0.26) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( 0.6) | 22.18% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( 0.89) | 55.58% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.63% |
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