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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
F

Alloa
1 - 2
Falkirk

Donnelly (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McKay (45'), Burrell (77')
McKay (54')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 4-0 Clyde
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawFalkirk
41.48% (0.064 0.06) 24.31% (0.004999999999999 0) 34.21% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 59.82% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)42.8% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)65.21% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.77% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (0.014000000000003 0.01)53.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)24.49% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)58.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 41.48%
    Falkirk 34.21%
    Draw 24.3%
Alloa AthleticDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.21%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-2 Alloa
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 0-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, December 31 at 1pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Clyde 2-2 Alloa
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 2-4 QotS
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Montrose 0-0 Alloa
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 4-0 Clyde
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Montrose
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 5-2 QotS
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 0-3 Dundee
Thursday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 1-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Clyde 3-3 Falkirk
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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