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HL
Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
SM

Hamilton
0 - 3
St Mirren

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGrath (4', 79' pen.), Dennis (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawSt Mirren
20.66%24%55.34%
Both teams to score 49.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49%50.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14%72.86%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.76%39.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.05%75.94%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7%18.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62%49.37%
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 20.66%
    St Mirren 55.33%
    Draw 24%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 6.72%
2-1 @ 5.34%
2-0 @ 3.14%
3-1 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.41%
3-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 20.66%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 12.19%
0-2 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-3 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 5.49%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-4 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 2.33%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 55.33%

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