SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Hibernian |
33.62% ( 0.27) | 25.98% ( -0.04) | 40.4% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( 0.24) | 50.43% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( 0.21) | 72.36% ( -0.21) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( 0.29) | 28.5% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% ( 0.36) | 64.27% ( -0.36) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.01) | 24.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( -0.01) | 59.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.4% |
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