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FA
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Station Park
HL

Forfar
0 - 1
Hibernian


Nditi (30'), Morrison (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doidge (69')
Youan (37'), Newell (53'), Newell (59')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Forfar Athletic and Hibernian.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forfar 2-1 Elgin
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawHibernian
23.62%22.86%53.52%
Both teams to score 57.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18%42.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78%65.22%
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13%31.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69%68.31%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02%15.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72%45.28%
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 23.62%
    Hibernian 53.52%
    Draw 22.85%
Forfar AthleticDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 6.11%
1-0 @ 5.82%
2-0 @ 3.33%
3-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 23.62%
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-1 @ 9.34%
0-2 @ 8.56%
1-3 @ 5.99%
0-3 @ 5.23%
2-3 @ 3.42%
1-4 @ 2.75%
0-4 @ 2.4%
2-4 @ 1.57%
1-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Forfar 2-1 Elgin
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Forfar
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 0-0 East Fife
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Peterhead 1-2 Forfar
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 2-4 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Spartans 1-0 Forfar
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, December 27 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-1 Hibernian
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 4-1 Hibernian
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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