Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
