SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Hearts |
28.69% ( 0.2) | 27.56% ( -0.05) | 43.74% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.8% ( 0.27) | 58.2% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% ( 0.21) | 78.85% ( -0.21) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% ( 0.3) | 35.99% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.23% ( 0.31) | 72.76% ( -0.31) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( 0.04) | 26.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( 0.06) | 61.58% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 28.69% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.74% |
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