SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
34.73% ( -0.16) | 25.6% ( 0.05) | 39.67% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( -0.26) | 48.59% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( -0.24) | 70.71% ( 0.24) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( -0.22) | 26.93% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.74% ( -0.29) | 62.26% ( 0.29) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.06) | 24.18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( -0.09) | 58.51% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.73% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.67% |
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