Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.