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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Brechin City had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Brechin City win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brechin City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
31.71% ( 0.02) | 22.25% ( 0.14) | 46.04% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 66.52% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( -0.69) | 33.63% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.55% ( -0.79) | 55.45% ( 0.79) |
| Brechin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( -0.32) | 21.54% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% ( -0.5) | 54.61% ( 0.5) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( -0.32) | 15.22% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.12% ( -0.6) | 43.88% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brechin City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.56% Total : 31.71% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 46.04% |
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