Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Brechin City win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Brechin City |
55.09% ( -2.01) | 23% ( 0.8) | 21.91% ( 1.21) |
Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% ( -2.02) | 45.36% ( 2.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.3% ( -1.96) | 67.7% ( 1.96) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.66% ( -1.38) | 16.34% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.06% ( -2.56) | 45.94% ( 2.56) |
Brechin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% ( 0.02) | 34.81% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( 0.02) | 71.54% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Brechin City |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.31% Total : 55.08% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.91% |
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