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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park
BC

Morton
1 - 0
Brechin

Ballantyne (58')
Baird (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Patrick (45+1'), Robertson (45+1'), Martin (74'), McKay (81')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Greenock Morton and Brechin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: East Fife 3-0 Morton
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3East Fife0nan
4Edinburgh0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stirling0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Brechin City win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawBrechin City
55.09% (-2.009 -2.01) 23% (0.801 0.8) 21.91% (1.205 1.21)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.882 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-2.022 -2.02)45.36% (2.02 2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.3% (-1.962 -1.96)67.7% (1.959 1.96)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (-1.38 -1.38)16.34% (1.378 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.06% (-2.56 -2.56)45.94% (2.557 2.56)
Brechin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (0.019000000000005 0.02)34.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 55.08%
    Brechin City 21.91%
    Draw 23%
Greenock MortonDrawBrechin City
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.402 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.319 -0.32)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.289 -0.29)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.276 -0.28)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.152 -0.15)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.158 -0.16)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 55.08%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.43 0.43)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.477 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6% (0.506 0.51)
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.232 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.268 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 21.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: East Fife 3-0 Morton
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 3-1 Morton
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-2 Morton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-4 Dundee Utd
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Morton
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Brechin 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Brechin 0-4 Hibernian U21s
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Brechin 2-2 Hearts U21s (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Clyde 1-2 Brechin
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Brechin 2-3 Cove Rangers
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Hamilton 1-0 Brechin
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup


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