SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
39.51% ( 6.13) | 25.23% ( -0.57) | 35.26% ( -5.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.78% ( 2.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( 2.87) | 46.85% ( -2.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( 2.63) | 69.1% ( -2.63) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( 4.82) | 23.48% ( -4.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( 6.52) | 57.5% ( -6.52) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( -1.7) | 25.79% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( -2.36) | 60.74% ( 2.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.88)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.93)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.91)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.79)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.51)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.48)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.39)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.29)Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.51% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.76)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -1.5) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.66)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -1.35)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.5)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.76)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.24)Other @ 3.41% Total : 35.26% |
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